With the coalition focused on the tri war (even some WI are over there) there is at this point no resistance to atlas in geminate. y8r is lost and last I heard 04, k25, o2o and tde are are in the process of dying. Towers in p-e are reinforced as well.
EDIT: This is only mostly true. There have been some joint ops with razor, but it's a holding action at best; we don't have nearly enough combined numbers to put up a credible defense and it looks as though we may be staging a full-scale evacuation to support the war in Pure Blind.
The western war is proceeding apace. A capital fight is finishing up as I write this, in which we apparently did NOT kill a tri titan -- we had 8 bubbled, but they logged off and the 15 minute timer is far too short to kill many supercapitals before they disappear.
Wish we could get that sort of firepower over here; I'm working on getting high-value assets out. There's no doubt that the coalition could retake geminate in a matter of days, but they've picked Pure Blind for that type of effort. I'm still not sure why we aren't deploying there.
I'm going to go ahead and make a prediction: We'll be back.